武漢市居民中暑綜合氣象指標分析
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中國氣象局氣象新技術推廣項目(CMATG2006M15)和氣候研究開放實驗室開放課題(LCS200611)資助


Meteorological Indexes of Heatstroke Events in Wuhan
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    摘要:

    利用武漢市1994~1998年所有中暑病例,采用區間平均法統計出日均中暑人數隨氣象因子的變化,分析發現,高溫是引起中暑的最關鍵因子,濕度、云量等因子對中暑也有一定輔助作用;日均中暑人數隨日最高氣溫升高呈指數規律升高,在31~34 ℃左右緩升、在35~39 ℃急升,非線性特征明顯, 并得出中暑5級判據;根據氣溫與其它因子的兩兩組合,提出了5種中暑典型天氣型及綜合指標,可作為中暑指數等級預報的重要補充,并可應用于長江流域廣大夏熱地區。

    Abstract:

    The relationship between the daily number of people with heatstroke and meteorological factors is studied by using the interval averaging method on the basis of the daily heat stroke case data and meteorological data from 1994 to 1998 in Wuhan. The results reveal that maximum air temperature is the key factor for the occurrence of daily heat stoke events, and relative humidity and total cloud cover are also relevant factors; the daily mean number of people with heat stroke increases exponentially with increasing daily maximum air temperature, slowly from 31 ℃ to 34 ℃ and abruptly from 35 ℃ to 39 ℃. A simple fivegrade criterion for heat stroke is devised, and five weather types and the corresponding indexes for heat strokes are determined according to the analysis and the combined types of daily maximum air temperature with daily relative humidity, minimum air temperature, and total cloud cover, which can be used as an important supplement for the grading prediction of heatstroke indexes and can be applied to the whole Yangtze Drainage Basin.

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陳正洪,何玲玲,王祖承.武漢市居民中暑綜合氣象指標分析[J].氣象科技,2007,35(6):837~840

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  • 收稿日期:2007-03-19
  • 定稿日期:2007-05-29
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