石家莊市氣候變化特征分析
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Characteristics of Climate Change in Shijiazhuangduring Recent 55 Years
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    摘要:

    利用石家莊市1951~2005年氣溫、降水資料,采用變率分析、趨勢分析、小波變換和MannKendall檢驗等方法對石家莊近55年的氣候變化特征進行了分析。結果表明:①夏季、秋季氣溫變率小,冬季氣溫變化幅度最大;②年氣溫和四季氣溫線性上升趨勢顯著,春季、冬季升溫最明顯,近55年氣候變暖主要是春季和冬季氣溫升高造成的。年降水量和四季降水量不存在線性變化趨勢;③四季氣溫和年氣溫變化的周期性不明顯,而降水量變化存在周期性;④石家莊四季氣溫和年氣溫在20世紀80年代末和90年初發生了明顯的氣候突變,而四季降水量和年降水量變化沒有發生明顯的氣候突變。

    Abstract:

    The characteristics of climate change in Shjjiazhuang are analyzed on the basis of the monthly air temperature and monthly rainfall data of the Shijiazhuang station from 1951 to 2005 by using the deviation analysis, trend analysis, wavelet transform and abrupt change analysis methods. The results show: (1) The temperature variability was mostly notable in winter and was small in summer and autumn. (2) There were obvious linearly increasing trends in the annual temperature and temperatures in four seasons, obviously in spring and winter. The warming in the recent 55 years can be attributed to the spring and winter temperature increase. There was no linear variation trend in annual precipitation and precipitation in four seasons. (3) The periodicities of annual temperature and temperatures in four seasons were not obvious, but there was periodicity in precipitation changes. (4) There were obvious abrupt changes in annual temperature and temperatures in four seasons, but the same changes are not found in annual rainfall and rainfall in each season.

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趙國石,郝立生.石家莊市氣候變化特征分析[J].氣象科技,2007,35(6):797~802

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  • 收稿日期:2006-09-26
  • 定稿日期:2006-11-24
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