寧夏熱量資源氣候變化的EOF特征
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科技部項目“寧夏氣候對全球氣候變化的響應及其機制”(2004DIB3J121)資助


EOF Characteristics of Thermal Resource Variation over Ningxia
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    摘要:

    對寧夏20個測站1961~2004年大于等于0 ℃、5 ℃、10 ℃積溫的EOF分析表明,隨著全球氣候變暖,寧夏積溫增加,生長季延長。大于等于0 ℃、5 ℃積溫的時空變化基本一致,1997~2004年表現為連續偏多的趨勢。20世紀80年代中期以前,大于等于0 ℃積溫偏少,之后偏多。大于等于5 ℃積溫轉折時間推遲到90年代中期,之前積溫偏少,之后相反。大于等于10℃積溫分兩種,60.1%的年份表現為整體偏多或偏少,31.6%的年份以中寧、鹽池一線為分界線,南北表現為相反的趨勢。生長季具有明顯的年代際變化特征

    Abstract:

    EOF analysis of accumulated temperature of 20 stations over Ningxia shows that the accumulated temperature and growth season increase with the global warming in Ningxia. The greaterthan0 ℃ and greaterthan5 ℃ accumulated temperatures have a very similar variation trend: increasing from 1997 to 2004. The greaterthan0 ℃ accumulated temperature is smaller before the middle 1980s and greater afterwards. The greaterthan5 ℃ accumulated temperature curve has a break in the middle 1990s, smaller before and greater after. The greaterthan10 ℃ accumulated temperature is greater or smaller than normal in the whole region in 60.1% years and has the opposite variation trend in the northern and southern parts with the boundary from Zhongning to Yanchi in 31.6% years. The growing season shows the clear interdecadal variation trend with an increasing rate of 3.8 days per 10 years, especially the average of the first four years of the 21st century is 14.9 days more than that in the 1960s.

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桑建人,劉玉蘭,韓世濤,邱旺.寧夏熱量資源氣候變化的EOF特征[J].氣象科技,2007,35(2):187~190

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  • 收稿日期:2005-12-09
  • 定稿日期:2006-02-21
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