位渦診斷在黃土高原強對流風暴預報中的應用
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Application of Potential Vorticity Diagnosis in Forecasting Strong Rain and Hail Storms over Loess Plateau
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    摘要:

    利用位渦理論,對2004年6月15~16日寧夏、內蒙、陜西、山西和河南出現大范圍的強對流風暴和局地冰雹天氣過程作了診斷分析。個例分析發現,干位渦空間結構表現為:從風暴區下游到風暴區形成隨高度向西傾斜的大值正位渦柱,風暴區形成對流層高層大值正位渦中心和對流層中低層伴有位渦梯度增強的位渦等值線密集區的疊置。對流層低層干位渦場特征表現為,風暴區形成干位渦等值線密集區和風場切變的耦合。對流層低層濕位渦場特征表現為,風暴區形成濕位渦正壓項小于0 對流不穩定舌和濕斜壓中心以及濕位渦斜壓項等值線密集區的耦合。風暴發生前

    Abstract:

    The largescale strong convective storm and the local hail storms over Ningxia, Inner Mongolia, Shaanxi, Shanxi and Henan on 15 and 16 June 2004 are analyzed by using the potential vorticity method. The spatial structure of dry potential vorticity (PV) exhibits that the positive largevalue potential vorticity center inclined to west from upstream to storm zone; the positive potential vorticity center in the upper troposphere and the dense PV isoline zone with enhanced PV gradients in the lower/middle troposphere were overlapped in the storm area. The dry PV field in the lower troposphere shows that the coupling of the dense PV isoline zone and the wind shear was formed in the storm area. The wet potential vorticity field in the lower troposphere shows that the coupling of convective unstable tongue and the wet baroclinicty center and the dense isotimic area of MPV2 was formed in the storm area. Before the storm, the dense meridional PV isolines was formed over Hetao in 500 hPa, and the positive PV disturbance and the positive PV advection toward Hetao appeared at the same time in the strong north flow over the Mongolia area in 500 hPa, which is highly indicative for the occurrence of largescale strong convective storms on the Loess Plateau.

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井喜,胡春娟.位渦診斷在黃土高原強對流風暴預報中的應用[J].氣象科技,2007,35(1):20~25

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  • 收稿日期:2005-08-15
  • 定稿日期:2006-01-12
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