青海器測時期以來氣溫變化特征
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P423.2 S161.22

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國家自然科學基金項目(40465002)和中國氣象局氣候變化專項(CCSF2005-2-QH22,CCSF2005-2-QH23)共同資助


Analysis of Air Temperature Variation Characteristics in Recent 42 Years in Qinghai Province
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    摘要:

    利用青海省26個代表站1961~2002年氣溫月資料,給出了加權平均的氣溫標準序列,分析了青海近42年來氣溫變化特征.結果表明:青海氣溫呈上升趨勢,升溫率為每10年0.25℃.年平均氣溫20世紀60年代最低,70年代起氣溫逐漸升高,進入90年代后升幅最為明顯,并達到年代平均氣溫最高值.氣溫變化存在明顯的季節性和地區性差異,最高和最低氣溫變化趨勢普遍存在不對稱性.青海氣溫變化趨勢與同期全國氣溫變化趨勢基本一致.全年和秋、冬兩季青海氣溫的升溫率明顯大于全國氣溫升溫率,年平均氣溫變化的位相超前于全國氣溫變化5~6年,這一結論有助于證實"青藏高原主體可能是我國氣候變化的先兆地區"的論斷.

    Abstract:

    Based on the monthly air temperature from 26 representative stations in Qinghai from 1961 to 2002, the standard weighted average air temperature sequence was given, and the characteristics of air temperature variation in recent 42 years in Qinghai was analyzed. The results show that air temperature in Qinghai has been increasing with a rate of 0.25 ~C per ten years. The annual averaged air temperature is the lowest in the 1960s, began to increase in the 1970s, and has been increasing significantly since the 1990s, with the highest ten-year averaged air temperature in the decade. The air temperature in Qinghai has evident seasonal and regional variation, and the variation tendencyies of maximum and minimum temperature are generally non-symmetry. The variation tendency of air temperature in Qinghai is consistent with that across China. The increasing rates of an- nual, autumn, and winter air temperature are much greater in Qinghai than those in other parts of China. The phase of air temperature variation is five to six years ahead in Qinghai of that in the whole China. This conclusion is in agreament with the viewpoint that the Qinghi-Tibet plateau is probably one of most sensitive areas to the climate change in China.

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汪青春 秦寧生 張國勝 李林 趙永業.青海器測時期以來氣溫變化特征[J].氣象科技,2005,33(5):419~423432

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  • 收稿日期:2004-12-27
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