阿勒泰地區死亡病例與氣象要素關系初步分析
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R188.8

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Primary Study of Relation Between Death Toll in Emergency Treatment and Meteorological Elements in Alaty Region
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    摘要:

    對阿勒泰地區急診死亡人數與氣象要素進行了逐步回歸分析,結果表明逐月、逐季死亡人數與同期平均氣溫、最高氣溫、最低氣溫、平均氣壓、日照時數的相關關系較好。影響腦血管疾病逐月死亡人數的主要氣象因子為氣壓,呈正相關,影響呼吸系統疾病逐月死亡人數的主要的氣象因子為氣溫,呈負相關,所有回歸方程都反映出冬季與氣溫呈負相關,氣壓呈正相關,夏季與氣溫呈正相關,氣壓呈負相關,即溫度低、氣壓高的冬季和溫度高、氣壓低的夏季死亡人數相對較多。

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    The stepwise regression analysis was carried out between the death toll in emergency cases and meteorological factors in Alaty of Xinjiang Province. The results show that there is good correlation between monthly/seasonal death toll and mean temperature,maximum temperature,minimum temperature,mean pressure,sunshine duration. The meteorological factor having the greatest influence on the monthly death toll of cerebral blood diseases is pressure (positive correlation),and that on breathe system diseases is temperature (negative correlation). For all the equations,it is shown that in winter,there is negative correlation between death toll and temperature,and positive correlation between death toll and pressure;in summer,there is positive correlation between death toll and temperature,and negative correlation between death toll and pressure. It means that the death toll is relatively high in the winter with low temperature and high pressure,and in the summer with high temperature and low pressure.

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沙依然 沙塔娜提.阿勒泰地區死亡病例與氣象要素關系初步分析[J].氣象科技,2004,32(2):132~134

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  • 定稿日期:2003-03-04
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