石家莊極端冷暖天氣氣候事件及其與氣候變暖
DOI:
作者:
作者單位:

作者簡介:

通訊作者:

中圖分類號:

P467

基金項目:


Cold and Warm Extreme Events in Shijiazhuang and Climate Warming
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 圖/表
  • |
  • 訪問統計
  • |
  • 參考文獻
  • |
  • 相似文獻
  • |
  • 引證文獻
  • |
  • 資源附件
  • |
  • 文章評論
    摘要:

    用石家莊市1955~2002年逐日氣溫資料,取其第95個和第5個百分位值作為確定極端高(低)溫日的閾值來檢測極端冷暖事件。對發生在2002年的極端冷暖事件進行檢測分析證明,上述方法能比較有效地檢測極端冷暖事件的發生。計算氣溫趨勢變率表明,石家莊氣候有明顯的增暖趨勢,隨氣候變暖夏季持續性強高溫和破記錄高溫事件的出現頻次增加;寒冷期趨于縮短;極端冷日趨于減少,極端暖日趨于增加。用季極端冷(暖)日數與氣溫求取相關的方法,分析各季極端冷暖事件與氣候變暖的聯系發現,氣候變暖對冬季極端冷日減少的影響最甚。城市化效應使城市變暖趨勢速率高于郊區,尤以最低氣溫表現明顯;暖事件增多、冷事件減少的趨勢速率也是城市高于郊區,且冷事件減少速率高于暖事件增多速率。在氣候變暖背景下應特別重視冬季冷事件減少給人類帶來的潛在影響。

    Abstract:

    Using daily air temperature data of Shijiazhuang from 1955 to 2002,the thresholds of extrema are estimated in terms of the 95th and the 5th percentiles,and the temperature extrema are identified. Analysis of cold and warm extreme events occurred in 2002 in Shijiazhuang shows that the above-mentioned schemes can effectively identify temperature extrema. The calculated temperature trend rates show that the climate in Shijiazhuang had obviously warming trends. With the climate warming,the continual and record-broken high temperature events increased;the cold period tended to shorten,cold days to decrease and warm days to increase. The relation of temperature extreme events and climate warming in Shijiazhuang is studied by using the correlative analysis method. The decrease of extreme cold days was most obvious. The urbanization effect enhanced climate-warming rates in the urban area,and especially the variation of the daily lowest temperature was most evident. The increasing/decreasing of warm/cold events was quicker in the urban area than in suburb. Under the background of climate warming,the decrease of cold events in winter and their potential impacts on human being must be paid special attention.

    參考文獻
    相似文獻
    引證文獻
引用本文

連志鸞.石家莊極端冷暖天氣氣候事件及其與氣候變暖[J].氣象科技,2004,32(2):76~

復制
分享
文章指標
  • 點擊次數:
  • 下載次數:
  • HTML閱讀次數:
  • 引用次數:
歷史
  • 收稿日期:
  • 定稿日期:
  • 錄用日期:
  • 在線發布日期:
  • 出版日期:
您是第位訪問者
技術支持:北京勤云科技發展有限公司
午夜欧美大片免费观看,欧美激情综合五月色丁香,亚洲日本在线视频观看,午夜精品福利在线
>