南海到西太平洋地區水汽輸送和山東夏季降水量奇異值分解分析
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P434.5 P426.613

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科學技術部社會公益研究專項資金項目 ( 2 0 0 1DIB2 0 10 4),山東省科技發展計劃項目 ( 0 12 15 0 10 3),山東省氣象局 2 0 0 2年度重點科研課題“副熱帶季風環流與山東夏季降水的關系”共同資助


THE SINGULAR VALUE DECOMPOSITION ANALYSIS BETWEEN MOISTURE FLUX OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA-WEST PACIFIC AND SUMMER RAINFALL IN SHANDONG PROVINCE
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    摘要:

    利用奇異值分解(SVD)方法和山東省26個代表站1951~2000年6~8月降水量、NCEP/NCAR再分析1958~1998年1~12月925~300hPa5層月平均比濕和風場資料,分析了山東夏季降水與前期(冬季、春季)及同期(夏季)南海到西太平洋地區水汽輸送之間相關場的分布型,從中找出了遙相關的“關鍵區”,并對找到的“關鍵區”的可靠性進行了驗證。研究表明,山東夏季降水與前期(冬季、春季)和同期(夏季)南海到西太平洋地區水汽輸送相關較好,春季的相關程度最高,冬季次之,夏季最小。

    Abstract:

    The distribution patterns of correlation between the summer rainfall in Shandong Province (SRSD) and moisture flux over the South China Sea-West Pacific (MFSP) in the preceding winter, spring and simultaneous summer are analyzed by using the singular value decomposition (SVD). The "key regions" are found and the reliability of these regions is proven. It is indicated that there are close relationship between the SRSD and the MFSP in the preceding winter, spring and simultaneous summer, and the highest correlation exists between the SRSD and the MFSP in spring, the higher in winter and the lowest in summer. There is apparent negative correlation between the summer rainfall in the south, southeast and peninsula of Shandong Province and the latitudinal MFSP and the longitudinal moisture flux over the south of Japan in the preceding winter. There is apparent negative correlation between the summer rainfall in mostly parts of Shandong Province and the latitudinal moisture flux over the east regions of Taiwan and tropical West Pacific, and there is apparent positive correlation between the summer rainfall in mostly part of Shandong Province and the longitudinal moisture flux over the West Pacific and China Continent-Japan in preceding spring. There is apparent positive correlation between the summer rainfall in the northwest,southwest and peninsula of Shandong Province and the moisture flux over the China Continent-Japan in summer.

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王慶 劉詩軍 陳延玲 周曉英.南海到西太平洋地區水汽輸送和山東夏季降水量奇異值分解分析[J].氣象科技,2003,31(1):11~17

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  • 定稿日期:2002-08-21
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